He’s had yet another horrible week. The old tricks aren’t working. Kamala Harris does not fear him. And it’s showing in the numbers.

  • jj4211@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    Just to remind everyone in 2016 people had pretty much already planned their Clinton victory parties and everyone “knew” that Trump was going to lose, the polling was so clear and Trump was such a joke. Perhaps some even took care of “more important” stuff than voting because it was so sure.

    So keep your excitement to take you to the voting booths rather than letting it make you complacent.

    • Osito@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Yea while Kamala is ahead in the polls , a frighteningly large amount of people still support 45

      • PM_Your_Nudes_Please@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        Even then, the error % on polls is high enough that Trump could be ahead instead.

        Polls post their calculated error %. If they could be off by like 5% in either direction, then that’s what they say. And if the poll shows Trump losing by 2%, with a 5% error, that means Trump could win by 3%.

        Every single reputable poll that has been published shows a Trump victory within the margin of error.

          • Bernie_Sandals@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            No, they just don’t have to poll massive groups, surprisingly small groups work well enough for polling.

            • hate2bme@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              Well they didn’t prove shit when they said Hillary was gonna win. Just gonna say I’m not ever gonna trust one.

              • Bernie_Sandals@lemmy.world
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                3 months ago

                Almost every poll had him winning within the margin of error, 2016 was never certain, just like this election isn’t.

              • zarkanian@sh.itjust.works
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                3 months ago

                Polls are all about probability. They can’t predict the future. So, even though Hillary was likely to win, there was still a chance that Trump could win. Does this mean that polls are useless? No, because knowing the popularity of your candidate relative to the other candidates is important information.

    • TheHiddenCatboy@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Thanks for saying this. It’s Mid-August. There are two whole months in which things can go wildly off the rails. Rather than celebrating polls in mid-August, let’s take this happy energy and make plans to go to the only poll that matters – the actual election – and make these mid-August hopes turn into January certainty. Plan the celebrations after we win in November, to coincide with Harris taking the Oath in January.

      • DJDarren@thelemmy.club
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        3 months ago

        There are two whole months in which things can go wildly off the rails.

        It’s astonishing how long the US election cycle is. There’s longer until the next US election than the entire campaign here in the UK, yet it’s all I’ve heard about for the past three years.

        Can you guys not just chill the fuck out?

        • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Can you guys not just chill the fuck out?

          I used to go years between worrying about politics before Trump was president. I’m hoping those days can return somehow.

          • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            Yes, this. During his “presidency”, I got so sick of dreading the morning’s news. When I’d see someone else and they’d say “did you see/hear what he did now?”, you didn’t even have to ask who “he” was; you knew.

            • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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              2 months ago

              It was exhausting and the country barely survived it. I have no idea what’s in store for any of us if they put his ass back there again.

            • TehWorld@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              “Make Politics Boring Again” Republicans have by-and-large politicized a HUGE number of things that should simply be left up to the scientific community. We shouldn’t NEED to have hearings on whether the planet is warming. The debate should be on minutia that aims to bring equity to all humanity, and frankly that’s pretty boring.

        • Tryptaminev@lemm.ee
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          3 months ago

          Obviously not. If people would chill out it would have to be about judging and responding to actual policy decision, instead of watching GoT political drama.

          The longer the election cycle, the more politics are a show and bad policy can be justified with “election tactics”.

    • zarkanian@sh.itjust.works
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      3 months ago

      The polls only look good because they’re so much better than they were for Biden. It’s still a toss-up, because those percentages are within the margin of error of the polls. (At least, for most of the swing states.)

    • Landless2029@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      And make sure you tell everyone else to get out and vote.

      Offer carpools to take people to vote if you can. We need numbers at the booths. Especially if you’re in a swing state or red.

      • jj4211@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        This would suggest that the polls indicated that Hilary was more popular despite Trump going on to win the popular vote. This did not happen. The majority of Americans dislike Trump and he lost the popular vote and never had an approval rating over 50%.

        However, there’s a lot of reporting on polls that operate like the popular vote, despite the popular vote not really mattering.

        The actual assessment is that the electoral college just doesn’t reflect/represent the majority of Americans, and it never really did.

    • phx@lemmy.ca
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      3 months ago

      Yeah, don’t be so sure of winning that you get too lazy to fricking vote. And also watch out because I’m sure there will be some dirty tricks around polling stations as certain Republican areas get desperate

    • acosmichippo@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      and there’s plenty of time for the propaganda machine to find a server, laptop or some other bullshit to give people an excuse to not vote for her.

      • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Honestly, I think this is one of the many reasons the hard right hate mail-in voting. There is less time for them pull off their typical rat-fucking dirty tricks if people already mailed in their votes.

    • DarkCloud@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Unfortunately I don’t see Kamala winning just yet, nothing is certain, there’s a lot of Trump supporters in the wood work, and the establishment liberal media play a game of “maybe if we pretend they’re losing, they’ll lose”.

      …which is wishful thinking that destroys people’s grip on reality, and causes a lot of voters to not bother to show up.