Over on reddit people where saying how stupid targeting the hangars would be as they are strongly reinforced and you need bunker buster bombs rather than missile payloads for that.

This was to claim that there was no threatening damage possible.

Now what we see is 4 points on the map and a circle drawn to emphasis the presumed aim point and accuracy. But we don’t know if all the missiles were targeted at the same place on the base. We don’t know how many missiles were sent to the base in total and which points they were aimed at and if it was different points at the base or not.

The statistical assessment made here is practically worthless without further information.

What we know is both sides lying about their capabilities and lack thereof. Iran claimed 80% and i think also 90% to have hit Israel. Israel claims 90% interception rate. We seen videos of dozens of hits, making each 90% number improbable, but it is evident from the videos that more were intercepted than not intercepted.

I wouldn’t trust any information that is thrown around right now, especially not by “officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence matters”

For reference i’d like to give this WW2 propaganda video of the US army claiming the German MG42s bark to be louder than its bite: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LcpR77N2Jn4 Soldiers found out quickly on D-Day that the MG could bite quite badly.