A contrarian isn’t one who always objects - that’s a confirmist of a different sort. A contrarian reasons independently, from the ground up, and resists pressure to conform.

  • Naval Ravikant
  • 23 Posts
  • 768 Comments
Joined vor 3 Monaten
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Cake day: 30. Januar 2025

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  • Since I didn’t have anyone to model from, I just went with what felt intuitive: I ordered a ton of flyers from an online print service (Vistaprint) and started stuffing mailboxes around the nearby homes. It was pretty slow at first, but the occasional call here and there kept me going. Whenever things quiet down, I just go out and drop off more flyers. I think of it like blowing on an ember - you do it a few times, and eventually the fire catches and starts sustaining itself.

    Other than that, I haven’t really done much marketing. I do have Facebook and Instagram pages for my business, which I think are important - especially Facebook. I also made a website. I’m not sure how much that helps directly, but it does get some traffic, and if nothing else, it adds to my credibility.

    Also, I played with the idea for nearly a decade, but I should’ve done it sooner. Starting a business is absolutely terrifying, and he’ll lose sleep over it - but it has the potential to be one of the greatest and most life - changing decisions he’ll ever make. Better to regret having tried than to regret never having even tried at all.







  • A statement can be simplified down to the point that it borderlines on misinformation while still being factually correct. Another examples would be saying “photography is just pointing a camera and pressing a button” or “internet is just a bunch of computers talking to each other.” It would be completely reasonable for someone to take issue with these statements.

    You are arguing very specifically that we cant know llm’s dont hae similar features (world model) to human brains because “both are black boxes”

    At no point have I made such claim.



  • “The human mind is very much a black box just the same way as LLMs are” is a factually correct statement. You can’t look into a human brain for an exact explanation of why an individual did something any more than you can look into the inner workings of an LLM to explain why it said A rather than B. Claiming that my motive is to equate LLMs and human brains is not something I said - it’s something you imagined.


  • I often wonder about this myself too - especially when it comes to people being mean online. It’s absurd to me that just because I said something they disagree with, they think it gives them the green light to viciously attack me personally instead of addressing what I actually said. And often, it’s from people I haven’t even interacted with directly. I just don’t get it. I never feel the urge to be intentionally mean to someone, and I can’t imagine what these people think they’re gaining from it.






  • Where is the world model you maintain? Can you point to it? You can’t - because the human mind is very much a black box just the same way as LLM’s are.

    It’s in the form of distributed patterns across billions of parameters. It’s not like the world model was handed to it. It’s emergent consequence of massive scale pattern learning. It learned it from the data it was trained on. The only way to become good at prediction is to implicitly absorb how the world tends to behave — because otherwise it would guess wrong.