my issue with the artcle isnt that its poiting out the possibility of the ukraine losing (which is very real), but the suggestion of a “post-war ukraine”, that might be able to better defend against russia.
to putin, winning this war doesnt just mean taking over some land, but the entirety of ukraine. if russia wins, best case szenario is they kick out and murder/ imprison the old government, and replace it with a puppet-regime, worst case they get rid of ukraine as a nation, absorb it into russia and annihilate anything ukrainian left (language, culture, ressentiments, opposition) by way of ethnic clensing.
You’re assuming an “absolute” victory where they take over the entire country though, which doesn’t seem too likely, instead of just Russia controlling some part of eastern Ukraine + Crimea, which wouldn’t grant them total control over the rest of Ukraine
my issue with the artcle isnt that its poiting out the possibility of the ukraine losing (which is very real), but the suggestion of a “post-war ukraine”, that might be able to better defend against russia.
to putin, winning this war doesnt just mean taking over some land, but the entirety of ukraine. if russia wins, best case szenario is they kick out and murder/ imprison the old government, and replace it with a puppet-regime, worst case they get rid of ukraine as a nation, absorb it into russia and annihilate anything ukrainian left (language, culture, ressentiments, opposition) by way of ethnic clensing.
if russia wins, there wont be a ukraine anymore.
You’re assuming an “absolute” victory where they take over the entire country though, which doesn’t seem too likely, instead of just Russia controlling some part of eastern Ukraine + Crimea, which wouldn’t grant them total control over the rest of Ukraine