• Chainweasel@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    0
    ·
    edit-2
    8 months ago

    Not entirely true,

    Many of the outcomes have been worse than predicted. We’re hitting milestones like 1.5°C decades ahead of when we were estimated to. The AMOC is on the verge of collapse, ice is melting faster, etc. So I wouldn’t say “exactly” what they predicted came true, it’s actually worse than predicted on average.

    • kapulsa@feddit.deOP
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      0
      ·
      8 months ago

      That’s very true. But I think that stems in part from the fact that some of the most prominent climate science (such as the IPCC report) features the consensus of many scientists. All climate scientists will agree on low estimates that we are very sure of. But there have been some models predicting faster increases of global temperatures than we have seen. If we would look at the average of scientific claims instead of the consensus, we might be more close to the truth.

      Nevertheless, science has been pretty right overall. Of course, not exactly right, but that wouldn’t fit in a meme.